Tuesday, January 31, 2012

The Road to Super Tuesday (and Beyond)

Tomorrow is the Florida primary's election day.  In the first closed primary of the campaign, around 2 million Floridians will go to the polls and choose who they want to be the nominee.  For a 2-3 day period immediately following South Carolina, it seemed as though Newtmentum might be enough to take the Sunshine State's 50 delegates as well.  But after a week of aggressive ad buys & 2 strong debate performances, Team Mitten has a lead anywhere from 5 to 20 points in winner-take-all Florida (my prediction for tomorrow is an 11 percent win, 43-32).  All the candidates vow to go on, but as we look at the road to Super Tuesday Mittmentum would seem to have very few places to be derailed.